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Dynamic
Gann Levels
"The
first forecasting approach that gives me the reliability I seek"
-- Ray Barros, professional trader and
money manager from Australia
The
Dynamic Gann Level (DGL) approach is based on some of the concepts
of
William D. Gann, but extends them by adding a few geometric formulas
to
provide what are often very precise
turning point projections.
Although
impressed with Gann's concepts of blending price and time in
evaluating
market action, I was frustrated with
the amount of time it
took to
properly scale charts, measure angles, and so forth.
This
led to my search for a simpler approach which would work across the
board
in various markets without any modification.
Using this
trading tool has enabled me to see the truth of Gann's
oft-quoted
statement: "when time and price coincide, change is imminent".
While I
certainly wouldn't claim this is the only way to "square" price
and
time, it is the only way I have found to accomplish it reliably without
having
to resort to special charting techniques or using a multiplicity of
tools
to calculate Gann angles, Gann lines, etc.
Unlike
the traditional Gann angle, Fib fan, and other such indicators
packaged
into many charing packages, DGLs rely on the dynamic unfolding
of
market action and adjust the resulting projections accordingly. This
technique
consistently performs well in both stock and commodity markets,
foreign
and domestic.
About a
decade ago, I was involved with a computer language called "Forth".
Because
many of us felt that it was an exceptional language with many unusual
features,
but little commercial endorsement, we joined together in what was called
the
"Forth Interest Group" (FIG). We had a great time sharing
applications, code,
new
ways of using the language, and just generally learning from one another while
promoting
"Forth" itself.
It was
this experience which helped me decide to share my DGL work by means of
a
"group" rather than some of the other options which were available.
And as the DGL
group
has chugged along over the past 4 years or so, I believe we've all benefitted
together
and learned together; I know I have, and I hope that will be your experience,
too.
Hundreds
of my projections using DGLs have been posted in advance to the
Usenet
newsgroups (misc.invest.futures and misc.invest.technical) so that
there
could be a public demonstration of their reliability. One of the
early
members of our group, a university professor from Australia who also
is
featured at popular trading seminars in that country, had this to say:
"This
is a winner. There are a lot of scams on the Net but just occasionally
something
turns up that is pure gold. The Dynamic Gann Level approach is
pure
gold in terms of the accuracy with which it allows a plotting of the
course
of any market."
Another
professional trader, who conducted a series of seminars
which
included his use of DGLs, makes this comment:
"I
use DGLs as an adjunct to my trading approach - to forecast price
turning
points when my approach warns me of a structural turning point.
Used in
this way, I have improved my trading results immeasurably."
And a
Canadian trader recently expressed: "I've been involved with futures
since
Oct '74 and haven't found a more enjoyable and challenging discussion
group;
your concepts are like a breath of fresh air."
No
doubt an exaggeration, but the sentiment is appreciated <g>
An
Australian trader wrote:
"Your
work on DGLs is very amazing and my wife and I are amazed at how
often
the SPI (Aussie index futures) for example will land on a DGL
level
for both its top and bottom for the day. It has to be better than
75% of
the time. There are some works around regarding geometry but DGLs
are the
king of the castle in accuracy and practical application.
Finally,
this from a seasoned trader:
"Like
most of us who have been in the trading arena for more than thirty years, I
have been exposed to a vast array of developers of methods and systems.
You have always stood out at the top of that
mountain, as much because of
your unflagging integrity as for the
sturdiness of the thinking that
underlies the DGL approach. I do not cast
idle bouquets... Just want to add
my name to the list of those who deeply
appreciate your continuing,
outstanding contribution."
Now,
just what are "Dynamic Gann Levels", anyway?
DGLs
are a market analysis tool for anticipating market turning points;
any
user would have exactly the same projections when using the same data
as
input. In fact, I send out updates (usually 3 per week) giving the exact
data I
am using for various markets so that users can just plug in the data
and see
the same projections I'm looking at.
Although
originally designed as a spreadsheet-based application, DGL group
members
have converted the DGL formulas for use in programs including:
--- a Visual Basic application program which
runs the calculations without
requiring
spreadsheet usage. I refer to it as a Windows pop-up "calculator"
for
DGLs.
---
indicators for various popular charting programs such as Supercharts,
TradeStation
and Metastock.
Here
are other distinctives of the DGL approach:
(1)
aligns both price and time; dealing with both when the market is likely
to make
a swing and at what price. To me, this
is the most important
feature;
this "squaring" of price and time was certainly one of Gann's
great
contributions.
What
I've tried to do is combine Gann's ideas with simple coordinate
geometry
formulae in to produce the "squaring", providing very specific
price/time
potential turning points.
The
result is that market entry can often be made with very close stops.
And
unlike many Gann techniques, there are no special overlays, scaling
of
charts, etc. required.
(2) the formulae are the same for all
markets: stocks, grains, currencies,
precious
metals, etc. The techniques work the
same way and equally well in
the
both the equities and commodities markets.
They may be used with any
time-frame
(weekly, daily, intra-day). We
currently have users involved in
daytrading
the Bonds and S&P, as well as position traders; our user group
has
people using the DGLs with stocks, futures and mutual funds in both
domestic
and foreign markets.
The
40-page DGL Manual is written in plain English, and seeks to communicate
how to
use DGLs in a clear way, without all the hype and hoopla often used
as
"filler". While I don't think it will ever win a Pulitzer prize for
journalism,
I also don't think you'll be left wondering what you've just
read!
(3) although not based on chart-pattern
recognition (such as candlesticks
and
traditional chart formations), you will discover a fresh way of looking
at
charts and their formations from a DGL perspective.
(4) unlike some methods which attempt to
forecast a turning point date
but
then leave you guessing as to whether it will be a high or a low, and
wondering
how to use the information to actually place a trade,
DGLs
willl enable you to know whether to expect a high or low, what entry
price
to use, and even help in knowing where to place both initial and
trailing
stops.
(5) helps keep losses small in two ways: first,
you'll often find that
you're
entering a trade at a point close to, and sometimes exactly at,
a
significant turn; secondly, you'll have some objective indication of
when to
stay out of the market when you don't belong in it!
One
problem many have is entering a market prematurely only to be stopped
out . .
. even though the market then turns as you had hoped. Still
another
common problem is trading too often while looking for that elusive
"big
move". With DGLs, you only enter the market when the numbers
indicate
that both the price and time are right.
Of
course, you will not catch every market turning point, but you won't
be
trying to buy near a top or sell near a bottom, either!
(6) the technique is not optimized for any
markets; due to its mathematical
nature
and the fact that it is based on prior price action within each
market,
it is has the capacity to be self-adjusting to the unique conditions
of each
market. This has become very apparent to our group as we see charts
of
various foreign markets which have little resemblance to anything in the
USA,
and yet demonstrate that the Dynamic Gann Levels indicate important
turning
points just as well as in American markets.
(7) If
you use tools like oscillators, you'll see
how they add confirmation
to what
the DGLs are telling you; the tutorials discuss how to use
oscillators
in conjunction with the Dynamic Gann levels. The DGLs help to
filter
out false signals that often plague oscillator users.
Now
please read this carefully:
I do
not have nor do I pretend to offer a crystal ball!
DGLs
are not some "secret" I discovered; a high school geometry textbook
is
what I
used to work out the math! This is not
one of those "Hidden Secrets
of the
Market Now Revealed" stories.
Remember:
No one can guarantee where the markets will actually be tomorrow.
Yet I
do claim that this approach prepares you for action when and if
prices
reach certain key price/time convergence points on a given date.
It acts
as an "early warning system" to provide you with good, solid,
low-risk
trading opportunities. Gann stated that
"the future is but a
repetition
of the past" and that "everything in existence is based on
exact
proportion". I don't believe in trying to outguess the market; but
I do
believe that past market action does indeed give specific clues as
to
future price and time activity. The DGL techniques attempts to discover
those
clues and profit from them.
The
Manual includes charts illustrating the strategy in both stocks and
commodities. All the formulas are included and explained
in ordinary
English;
there is nothing kept hidden from the purchaser.
In
addition to the manual and accompanying diskette containing the
indicators
mentioned above, I send out regular email updates which serve
as
"live tutorials" so those working with DGLs can see how I apply the
techniques
to current markets. These email updates come out at least 3
times a
week, and frequently more often.
Most
recently, I have established a discussion list for DGL users, which allows
us to
interact with each other, pass along charts with DGL setups, discuss
trading
strategies, etc.
One of
the key concepts in the analysis I do is that of using different types
of
indicators and waiting for confirmation from all of them. So in my analysis
I use:
a)
Price and Time indicator (DGLs) based on market geometry
b)
Oscillator to help identify trading cycles
c)
Trade Bands to confirm a move forecast by a cycle swing at a DGL point
All
three of these are discussed and included as indicators on the DGL diskette.
One
acquires the DGL Manual and diskette by joining our user group.
The
cost of user-group membership is a one-time $95.00 fee.
There
are no other charges; I have no other "products" to sell.
The
40-page Manual and indicator files may all be sent by email for
same-day
delivery which is especially helpful for those ordering
from
outside the USA.
Becoming
a member of our user group also brings you the market updates
mentioned
earlier. You can receive these for as long as you wish; there are
no
subscriptions or renewal fees, since I don't offer them as an advisory service
but
merely as a vehicle for pointing out DGL analysis and setups in real time.
HERE'S
HOW TO ORDER:
If
you'd like to order the DGL materials, the cost is $95.00 USD;
this
price is the same for both domestic and foreign purchases.
The
following payment options are available:
(a)
Credit Card using PayPal or CCNow
(b)
Bank-to-bank wire transfer (contact me for details)
(c)
Bank check, Money Order or personal check (funds in US Dollars only)
(d)
Western Union wire transfer -- able to use credit card for this
FOR
INTERNATIONAL CREDIT CARD PURCHASES, EMAIL ME FOR DETAILS AND SPECIFY THE
CURRENCY YOU WOULD LIKE TO USE FOR PAYMENT
NOTE:
checks payable to Don Fisher in all cases
My
mailing address is:
Don
Fisher
222
Washington St.
Westwood,
MA 02090
email: ganntrader@aol.com
Materials
may be downloaded from the user group private site, emailed, or
sent
out via Priority Mail.
HERE'S
A RECAP OF WHAT YOU GET:
(1) the
manual explaining the methodology and providing all formulas
(2) a
diskette with 1.3 meg of application software allowing you
to use
the DGL methodology in any of the following ways:
a. in a spreadsheet program
b. as a stand-alone Windows application
c. as an indicator for Omega products
(including 2000i ProSuite)
d. as an indicator for Metastock
(3) a
tutorial which not only clarifies some of the DGL concepts presented
in the
Manual, but also shares some of the most useful additional indicators
I
personally use in all my DGL analysis.
(4)
membership in the DGL user group. This provides you with the
email
market updates based on the techniques. NOTE: These updates
are for
educational purposes only, to provide instruction in the
use of
Dynamic Gann Levels, and are not trading recommendations.
I think
that pretty much covers it. Whatever your decision, I wish
you the
very best for successful trading.
Don
Fisher
ganntrader@aol.com
++++++++++++++++++++
WARNING:
More shameless testimonials begin here. Some people like to
read
what others have said, and some people absolutely hate
such
things because they view them as phony. If you fall into the latter
category,
it's probably time to stop reading!
However,
I will just mention that all of the comments were unsolicited.
***********************************************
The
following is the review which was published in the February-March 1996
issue
of CTCN. The author is Ray Barros, a money manager, professional trader
and
trading advisor from Australia:
---------
"I
am always looking for ways to strengthen my trading plan - a firm believer
in the
precept 'if it ain't broke, don't fix it'.
Twenty percent of my
net
profits goes to R&D. Most of the
stuff that I come across is a waste
of time
and money. However, in my travels on
the net, I came across two
items
that I found of value.
The
first:
'DYNAMIC
GANN LEVELS', a manual with accompanying diskette.
I first
came across DGL through Don's posting of the levels in the
'misc.invest.futures'
newsgroup on the Internet. I noticed that very
frequently
the market turned on the levels published.
Finally I asked
him for
details on December 15th [1995] when on the 13th he said that
a
substantial fall in the S&P was imminent.
I was
pleasantly surprised at the cost and even more impressed when I
subjected
DGLs to my testing. DGLs are a
mathematical formula that
determines
support and resistance levels from which a market can turn.
In
determining these levels, it incorporates time as well as price.
The
test and trade results have been impressive.
I
investigated DGL as I was looking for a reliable indicator of price
levels
that would augment my price patterns which tell me when there's
a high
probability of a change in trend in the timeframe I am trading.
I found
the 'normal' methods not up to the standard of reliability that
I seek.
DGL is the first forecast approach that gives me that reliability.
I found
Don very generous with his time as far as questions are concerned.
He also
places you on his e-mail list for regular updates.
In
terms of value for money, I'd give it a 9.6 out of a scale of 1-10."
**************
More
Comments from users:
"As
a Registered Options Principal, I have studied many option trading
systems
to make sure that my clients are getting the best possible advice.
I
typically trade credit spreads on the OEX. However, during the last
two
years, volatility has changed so much that these trades have become
far
riskier and have forced me to change my investment strategy to
encompass
more equity trading. I find that the key is to understand the
dynamics
of the stock you are trading and then choose a correct option
strategy
in order to be successful. The DGL approach has given me and my
clients
a huge edge by being able to recognize the dynamics and
appropriately
determine both target points and stop points for each
trade."
*************
"Thanks
again for your wonderful material and tutorials: without that
I
probably would have given up on stock selection and timing and
have
stayed with some mutual fund programs.
By the way, the buy/sell
band
numbers from: they are RIGHT ON!!! and the extension for the next
day
intraday triggers is wonderful."
=======
"I
must say that I am greatly impressed using the DGL method of analysing
movement
- since I received your package I have been trading the SPI
with my
futures broker and have made 6 trades, 4 winners for +250 points
and 2
losing trades for -38 points."
========
"I
really want to thank you for sharing an awesome indicator.
I have
finally installed the DGL indicators into Omega Super Charts and
I'm very excited with what I see. This indicator
rounds out my trading plan
perfectly!
I also own the Dynamic Trader software, which is incredible in its
own
right, but I find the DGL indicator much more comfortable to use in
conjunction
with an environment I'm already used to, namely Super Charts".
=====
"I
am just starting to use the DGL's in Market Analyst (an Australian charting
package
which has a DGL feature for members of our group) and I am almost
shocked
to see how accurate they are!"
==========
"I
honestly believe that your approach is probably the best I have seen
for
generating consistent long-term profits."
========
"Thank
you and keep up your excellent work! - DGL's have been the best
chart
analysis format that I consistently use on a daily basis.I've been
trading
since 1989 and I've tried most of it."
---------------------
"Many
thanks for your faithful tutorial assistance. I don't think I
have
ever bought a product at any price with after sales support like
yours.
DGL is my basic analysis technique. I always put DGL's on first,
and
then look further afield."
===========
"I
work for a major securities firm, brokering Eurodollar futures.
As
always, great job at your end.
I
really believe I was extraordinarily lucky to find you on the
"net".
My
overall trading perspective has really expanded thanks to you!
Keep up
the good work."
==========
"Dynamic
Gann Levels (DGL's) are my favorite indicator.
They do not
attempt
to predict the future. They simply
utilize the mathematical
relationships
of Price & Time to identify Support/Resistance. They
maybe
used for any time frame. Personally, I
use them for daytrading
the
S&P. Without a doubt, of all the
money I have spent to learn trading
methods,
DGL's have been the best value."
==========
"After
having lost 6,000 dollars in commodities via [a popular home
trading
course name deleted], I am now
beginning to follow the market
using
your approach which seems to work much better. I promised myself
[to]
learn to depend on myself instead of some guru who claims instant
success
. . . your technique seems like the only sane one I've seen so far."
---------------
"I
just want to thank you for your wonderful product. When I consider the
amount
of wasted time and money that I have invested over the years with
other
techniques, services, and software (too many to mention), etc., I
really
wish I had known about DGLs sooner. Your product and continuing
service
by far has provided me the BEST value with stunning results. It
was
certainly my good fortune to find you on the Net."
-----------------
"Dynamic
Gann Levels incorporate the concepts of Elliot Wave,
Retracements
and Extensions of Price & Time into one precise method."
--------------
"I
have been using DGL for about 2-3 months now and I am very impressed
with
how it works. Recently started to use
it in real trading. During
the 2-3
months that I was observing it, I
noticed that whatever stock
or
commodity I was following always made a reversal at or very, very
close
to one or more DGL lines, without exception. In short, DGL is
rapidly
becoming my primary trading tool.
--------------
"thanks
for the input on Lucent Technology last week; I sold on the
top
day!"
--------------
"I
have been impressed with the accuracy of DGL in both price and time.
I don't
rely on DGL exclusively,
however
I find that after reaching a view on a market using Gann boxes,
squaring
time and price, Elliot wave, and so on, DGL is an absolutely
beautiful
practical little tool to put it all in perspective."
--------------------
"Let
me begin by congratulating you on your DGL method. This is, without
doubt,
the best money I have spent on market education. Well done!"
----------------------
"I
wanted to take this opportunity to thank you for all of your work
and
assistance. You've developed a very impressive system and it is
obvious
that you continue to devote large quantities of time to it.
Thanks
again; I'm learning more and more each day and enjoying every
minute
of it!"
----------------------
".
. .what I like best is the DGL User Group. While like myself, you're
a part
time trader; unlike myself, you have found the time to analyze
many
markets to find the best opportunities. After your analysis, you
freely
share your findings with the rest of us via the DGL group.
Anyone
looking for a bargain, need not look any further. The DGL
software
+ the DGL User Group all for one price!
A great
Deal."
-----------------------
"I
really like the support you give on your method. I enjoy your comments
and
obvious intent to have people make the
most of the DGL method.
You
give incredibly good value and the ideas you put forward knock spots
off
most of the technical analysis data being sold for vast amounts of money.
On the
stock data I sent you, which was for Westpac Bank (Australia), the
resistance
projections worked admirably. I got out of my position at a
profit
and a couple of days later the stock dropped quite dramatically."
-----------------------
"your
DGL method and your posts have put a struggling Gann trader on the
right
path again. When I signed on with the DGL group you said that you
had
nothing else to sell, but if you did have I know that I myself as well
as
others would be customers."
-----------------------
"DGL
has created an ideological revolution in me! The BP finally stopped
at a
DGL projection and topped out. The recent IFFE Bunds top was picked
by a
major DGL going back a year!
My
Italian Bond chart shows a free fall and a sudden break down in that
market
halted by a DGL line.
Closed
near the line and opened at the DGL line and skyrocketed up! "
-----------------------
"I
appreciate the original work that you have done. It is the first
actual
indicator that really can show (to me at least) hard evidence
of
order and harmony in the markets. There
is other stuff around and
some of
it makes sense but it is tough to actually measure its accuracy
and
even harder to use in real trading."
------------------------------
"Your
product has provided me with a very useful perspective and gives
me an
additional frame of reference for my analysis.
I believe that the
real
value of the Dynamic Gann Level method is that it aligns time and
price."
----------------------------------
"Wow! After a month of trying your system against
another, you won
big
time. Thanks for a job well done".
----------------------
"First,
I used your technique to enter a copper trade which ended up
netting
me around $700 on one contract - so thanks!"
--------------------------
"I've
gotta tell you it's actually been fun and exciting learning about
your
approach to Gann. The methodology's strength lies in its precision
vis-a-vis
attempting to draw lines on possibly out-of-scale charts."
-------------------------
"I
recently made a profit of nearly $3,300 per contract on a move in Lumber.
I
caught the very low and exited at pretty close to the very top of the
swing,
thanks to the DGL tools".
--------------------------------
"Just
received your manual the other day. I spent most of the weekend
going
over some Australian futures market data from the past five years,
and the
results are simply stunning! I've used just about every Gann
method
that there is over the years lines, retracements, astro stuff,
etc,
and the results have been somewhat inconsistent. However, this
method
really seems to open the door to a more objective approach to
Ganns'
work. I'm really pleased at what I have
seen."
----------------------
"As
is the case with most people, I'm extremely busy with my 'day job'.
I've
only read through your literature once and haven't had time to
experiment
(as I will do in the near future).
However, I made 20% in
2 weeks
on two recent stock trades, and I attribute these gains to insight
you've
provided."
-----------------------
"No
question this is the best buy I've ever made for helping mesee what
is
going on with a stock or futures contract. Thanks again."
----------------------
"I
can report that the DGL approach really-really works! Have had 3
straight
wins in live cattle and working on 4th now!"
--------------------
"I
must tell you Don, your course and email support are the BEST value
I've
found, and I really feel your product is great. Thank you for
all
your honest effort, and great support."
-------------------
"
I have a full time business but still find time to trade. It is
rewarding
for me to deal with someone who is in this for the satisfaction
of
doing a proper job of market evaluation. Your work is generally right
on the
money, and I am having more fun trading less."
---------------------
"
I have just completed my first trade and made a nice little profit,
thank
you very much for the DGL course, the figures are coming true daily."
----------------------
"I
am starting up a financial business and my web site is under
construction. I would like to put a link to your web site
because I think
yourwork
is outstanding."
------------------
"I've
been a member of your group for 8 months or so. Due to other
responsibilities,
my time for trading has been limited.
However, I
made
two recent stock trades...one resulted in a 24% gain in 4 months,
the
other a 75% gain in a week! I'm confident that this is only the
beginning,
and that using the DGL technique as an assist will result
in
continuing gains."
--------------------
"I
have been using the Dynamic Gann Levels as added ammo for my other
work in
a day-trading strategy, and it has worked out well. Since I
began
using DGL I have found that my confidence level has increased
considerably.
This has been my best month ever with only 3 losing
trades!
I must say that no system is perfect by itself, but when you
use the
best parts of several you can develop a strategy that will
increase
your odds of being profitable. Thanks again."
----------------------------
"Just
wanted to let you know that I received your package. Also, I think
you
have done an excellent job of putting some of Gann's theories into a
truly workable
system. I knew that the theories worked, but I was
having
a hard time making a system out of them. Now, with your DGL
concepts
I will know "where" in the market I am, and can use the other
techniques
I employ to add confirmation.
Thanks
again for the great work in this area of study. Your tools
will
greatly enhance the effectiveness of my entry/exit and stop
placement
in my day-to-day trading."
------------------
"I'd
like to give you some positive feedback on your Gann methodology.
It's
been working very well for me since I got it.
Using the techniques
and
some sound money management, I've been profitable for the first time
in a
long time. Thanks again."
----------------
"I
thought I would share with you how I am using the DGLs. First of all,
I have
to admit to my continual amazement how frequently prices stop right
at the
projections or very close to it -- quite incredible."
---------------
(From
one of our daytraders): "By the way, the last trade using timing
techniques
we have discussed plus DGLs resulted in a $2100 return"
"Overall
I find DGLs to be one of the most useful tools in my market
analysis
and trading and am very grateful to you for your educative
role in
this regard."
---------------------
"A
superlative combination of Gann and Fibonacci is Don Fisher's DGL's.
I'm
amazed at the price point accuracy his system projects at various levels
of
support and resistance."